Inclusion
of some treatment-related deaths could make cancer mortality statistics
a better reflection of medical progress
Inclusion of deaths directly related to cancer treatment could increase
the overall cancer mortality rate by about one percent, but it would
make future mortality and survival statistics a better reflection
of medical progress, according to an article in the July 17th issue
of the Journal of the National cancer Institute. The authors recommend
attributing all deaths within one month of cancer-related surgery,
radiation therapy, or chemotherapy to the underlying cancer rather
than the treatment itself.
Calculations of cancer mortality depend on accurate determination
of the underlying cause of death. The authors argue that cancer
mortality should include deaths from treatment for cancer as well
as deaths from the disease. They note that clear guidelines for
classifying treatment-related cancer deaths do not exist.
"The more we look for cancer and the more we treat people
with the diagnosis, the more important it will be to properly assign
diagnostic and treatment-related deaths. Otherwise, observed mortality
trends may make harmful interventions appear beneficial," said
H. Gilbert Welch, M.D., lead author.
As a rule, researchers consider deaths within 30 days of a surgical
procedure to be treatment-related when calculating mortality. To
determine if this rule is being applied uniformly to cancer patients,
the authors used national cancer registry data to find the reported
cause of death in patients who, between 1994 and 1998, died within
one month of cancer-related surgery to remove a solid tumor. Among
the 4,135 deaths within one month of diagnosis and cancer-related
surgery, 41 percent were attributed to a cause other than the cancer.
The proportion of cases not attributed to cancer ranged from 13
percent for cervical cancer to 81 percent for laryngeal cancer.
There is a trend toward increasing misclassification among cancers
such as those of the breast and prostate for which early detection
has increased substantially, the authors note.
"Although the estimated effect of this misclassification on
overall cancer mortality is modest, it may be indicative of more
widespread confusion about how to code treatment-related deaths
of patients with cancer," the authors conclude.
They advocate steps to assure that cancer mortality remains a valid
indicator of cancer progress and propose development of standard
rules such as that all deaths within one month of surgery, radiation
therapy, or chemotherapy be attributed to the cancer for which the
treatments were initiated.