Yearly
update on cancer in the U.S. projects significant increases in overall
case number and mortality due to aging of the population
According to the latest Annual Report to the Nation on the Status
of Cancer, published in the May 15th issue of CANCER, cancer death
rates decreased from 1993 to 1999, and cancer incidence rates stabilized
after 1995. The decline in cancer death rates reflects longer-term
mortality trends and can be traced to both reductions in tobacco use
and to better screening methods for earlier detection. More effective
treatments also contributed to the decline. At current incidence rates,
however, the number of newly diagnosed cancer cases can be expected
to double by 2050 due to the projected growth and aging of the population.
In the U.S., the median age
at diagnosis of cancer is 68 years. As the U.S. population grows
and ages, the number of newly diagnosed cancer patients can be expected
to rise from 1.3 million persons to 2.6 million, the authors report.
This increase, especially in the number of older cancer patients,
will spur demand for supportive, palliative, and medical services.
It will also create new challenges for health care providers because
older patients are more likely to have significant comorbidity or
take medicines that might interact with cancer treatment. Older
people are under-represented in clinical trials, which are the most
valuable resource for identifying new treatments.
Although cancer death rates
decreased and incidence rates stabilized from 1995 through 1999,
according to the report, there were many differences in the data
due to age, race, and sex of patients, as well as type of cancer.
Cancer incidence and death
rates increased rapidly with age and were generally higher for men
than for women in 1995 through 1999, except for persons below the
age of 50 years, where women had higher cancer incidence and death
rates.
Overall, men had stable cancer
incidence rates whereas women had increasing incidence rates. For
women, overall cancer incidence rates increased from 1987 to 1999
due to increased breast cancer rates among women aged 50-64 years
and increased lung cancer rates among women 65-74 years old.
The U.S. death rate from cancer
decreased an average of more than 1 percent per year from 1993 to
1999. During the 1990s, the decline accelerated for most age groups
in men and women, with the notable exception of lung cancer death
rates in older women. Lung cancer was the leading cause of cancer
deaths, accounting for almost one third of deaths in men and about
one fourth of deaths in women. Colorectal cancer was the second
leading cause of cancer death overall, accounting for about 10 percent
of deaths, with breast and prostate cancer deaths together representing
another 14 percent.
The decline in cancer death
rates during the 1990s reflects longer-term mortality trends and
can be traced to both reductions in tobacco use and to better screening
methods for earlier detection. More effective treatments also contributed
to the decline. Routine screening also influenced cancer incidence
trends and improved the prognosis for many cancer patients.
Progress against cancer can
be measured by the reductions in the rate of cancer deaths at each
age, as well as shifts in detecting cancer at earlier and more treatable
stages of disease at diagnosis. But despite the progress noted in
this annual report, the authors warn, "the future aging of
the population will dramatically increase the number of cancers
and the age of most cancer patients." Barring no major breakthroughs
in cancer prevention, the U.S. will face a substantial cancer burden
increase in the decades to come.
The report was compiled
by The American Cancer Society (ACS), the National Cancer Institute
(NCI), the North American Association of Central Cancer Registries
(NAACCR), the National Institute on Aging, and the Centers for Disease
Control and Prevention (CDC), including the National Center for
Health Statistics (NCHS) and the National Center for Chronic Disease
Prevention and Health Promotion (NCCDPHP).
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