PSA Testing Interval Reduction in Screening Intervals: Data from the Prostate, Lung, Colorectal and Ovarian Cancer (PLCO) Screening Trial

E. David Crawford, MD
University of Colorado Health Sciences Center
Denver, CO, USA


In a large screening study, men with baseline levels of prostate-specific antigen (PSA) <2 ng/mL had a very low risk of conversion to positive PSA (>4 ng/mL) at subsequent screenings. Dr. Crawford recommended that men who want prostate cancer screening but have low PSA levels should seek screening less frequently. In the United States, adopting this strategy would save hundreds of millions of dollars.

Prostate cancer is the most common cancer diagnosis in American males and the second leading cause of cancer death. Strategies to improve these statistics include prevention, screening, and new treatments for locally advanced or metastatic disease.

In 1993, the National Cancer Institute in the United States started the Prostate, Lung, Colorectal and Ovarian Cancer (PLCO) screening trial. Between 1993 and 2001, investigators enrolled 154,000 men and women ranging in age from 55 to 74 years. They randomized patients to a screening or usual care arm.

One aim of the PLCO trial is to evaluate the value of prostate cancer screening. Men received PSA assessments at each of 6 annual screenings. They also received a digital rectal examination for the first four yearly exams.

Dr. Crawford presented an early analysis of prostate cancer screening data from the PLCO study. Investigators evaluated total PSA changes over 5 years for men who had baseline PSA levels <4 ng/mL and at least one follow-up screening. This group included nearly 28,000 men.

The results showed that only 1.4% of men with PSA under 1ng/mL at baseline would become positive (i.e., PSA >4 ng/mL) in 4 subsequent years of annual PSA testing. In addition, only 1.2% of men with baseline PSA of 1-2 ng/mL would have a positive PSA test in the following year screening.

 


The PLCO study: Rate of conversion from negative
to positive PSA (> 4 ng/mL) within 1 year


PSA level (ng/mL)
Conversion rate
0-1
0.25%
1-1.9
1.2%
2-2.9
34%
3-3.9
83%


Elevations in PSA found during routine screening may lead to significant anxiety due to false positive results and to the need for needle biopsies to rule out malignancy. Investigators believe the results of this study could help men choose whether or not to undergo routine prostate cancer screening.

Dr. Crawford said 55% of PSA tests could be avoided if men with PSA <1 ng/mL received screening only every 5 years, and men with PSA between 1 and 2 received screening every 2 years. Adopting this strategy would avoid 15.7 million fewer screenings, and save up to $1 billion per year in the United States.

 


Reporter: Andrew Bowser